Ahumahi: Nā te pānga o ngā taake o Amerika, kua heke ngā utu utanga ipu moana

E whakaatu ana te tātari ahumahi kua noho pūmau anō ngā mekameka tuku taonga o te ao i ngā whanaketanga hou o te kaupapa here hokohoko o Amerika, nā te mea kua nui te whakararuraru me te koretake o ngā pakihi e mahi ana i Amerika Te Raki nā te whakatinanatanga me te whakamutua wāhanga o ētahi taripa a te Perehitini Donald Trump.

Kua horapa atu tēnei āhua o te koretake ki ngā utu utanga ipu moana, ā, e ai ki ngā raraunga a te Freightos Baltic Index, kua heke ngā utu utanga ipu moana ki raro i te taumahatanga o te wā iti o te tau i te tīmatanga o te tau.

I pā te panuitanga tuatahi o te 25% o te taripa mō ngā taonga katoa i kawemaihia mai e te Hononga o Amerika mai i Mehiko me Kānata ki te umanga kawe waka. Heoi, i roto i ētahi rā, ka tukuna e te kāwanatanga he ota whakatārewatanga mō te marama kotahi mō ngā hua motuka e hipokina ana e te Whakaaetanga o te Hononga o Amerika ki Mehiko me Kānata, ā, i muri mai ka whakawhānuihia ki ngā hua kawemai katoa i raro i te whakaaetanga. Ka pā tēnei ki te 50% o ngā kawemai mai i Kānata me te 38% o ngā kawemai mai i Mehiko, tae atu ki ngā hua motuka, ngā hua kai me ngā hua ahuwhenua, tae atu ki te maha o ngā hua hiko me ngā hua hikohiko.

Ko ngā taonga kawemai e toe ana, tata ki te $1 piriona te uara i ia rā, kei te anga atu ki te pikinga taake 25%. Ka kapi tēnei kāwai i te whānuitanga o ngā hua mai i ngā waea, ngā rorohiko ki ngā taputapu hauora. Nā te whakatinanatanga ohorere me te whakamutua wāhanga o ēnei taake i hua ake ai he whakararuraru nui ki te kawe waka whakawhiti rohe me te haere whenua mai i Mexico me Canada.

I roto i tētahi pūrongo i tukuna me ngā raraunga hou, i tuhituhi a Judah Levine, te kaiwhakahaere rangahau i Freightos, ehara tēnei pikinga utu tāke i te mea takitahi, engari he wāhanga o te tauira whānui a Trump mō te whakamahi i te kaupapa here hokohoko hei āwhina i a koe ki te whakatutuki i ngā whāinga maha. I tēnei take, ko ngā whāinga kua whakapuakina ko te aro atu ki ngā take haumarutanga rohe me te aukati i te rere o te fentanyl me ngā manene ture kore. Heoi, e kī ana ētahi pūrongo he wāhanga tēnei nā te oati a ngā kaihanga waka ki te neke i ētahi mahi mai i Kanata me Mexico ki te United States.

I kī a Levin, nā te koretake o ēnei huringa kaupapa here tere, ka tino uaua te whakamahere me te whakatikatika i ngā kaituku kaipuke. He maha ngā kamupene e whai ana i te waiaro tatari-me-te-tiro i mua i te whakaae ki ngā huringa nui i roto i ā rātou mekameka tuku. Heoi, kei te tata mai te riri o te pikinga o ngā taripa, inā koa mō ngā taonga kawemai mai i Haina me ētahi atu hoa hokohoko o Amerika, kua akiaki i ētahi kawemai ki te tuku utanga moana i mua i te wā i whakaritea mai i Noema, ka piki ake te tono me ngā utu kaipuke.

E whakaatu ana ngā raraunga hou mai i te National Retail Federation, mai i Noema o te tau kua hipa ki Pēpuere o tēnei tau, kua piki ake te nui o ngā utanga moana o Amerika mā te 12% ki te whakataurite ki te wā kotahi o te tau kua hipa, e whakaatu ana i tētahi pānga nui. Ahakoa e matapaetia ana ka noho kaha tonu te nui o ngā utanga puta noa i te marama o Mei, e matapaetia ana ka ngoikore te nui o ngā utanga i te marama o Hune me Hūrae, e tohu ana i te tīmatanga ngoikore o te wā pīki tuku iho nā ngā tuku wawe.

E kitea ana hoki te pānga o ēnei rerekētanga kaupapa here tauhokohoko i roto i ngā utu utanga ipu. Whai muri i te Tau Hou Marama, i heke tonu ngā utu ipu whakawhiti-a-Kiwa, me te hekenga o ngā utu utanga i te Tai Hauāuru ki te $2660 mō ia waeine 40 putu te rahi, ā, i te Tai Rāwhiti ki te $3754 mō ia FEU. Ki te whakatauritea ki te tau kua hipa, kua heke iho ēnei tau mā te 40%, ā, kei te taumata iti rawa o te tau 2024 i muri i te Tau Hou Marama, kei raro iho rānei i te taumata iti rawa o te tau 2024.
Waihoki, i ngā wiki tata nei, kua heke iho ngā utu utanga moana o ngā hokohoko o Āhia me Ūropi i raro iho i te iti rawa o te tau kua hipa.

Kua piki ake te reiti Āhia Nordic mā te 3% ki te $3064 mō ia FEU. Kei te noho tonu te utu mō Āhia Mediterranean ki te taumata $4159 mō ia FEU.

Ahakoa i whakaroa te hekenga o tēnei hekenga nā te pikinga whānui o te utu i te tīmatanga o Poutū-te-rangi, ā, i piki ake ngā utu mā te rau tāra, he iti rawa te pikinga i te pikinga $1000 i pānuitia e te kaiwhakahaere. Kua pumau ngā utu i te rohe o Āhia me te Moana-nui-a-Kiwa, ā, tata rite tonu ki ērā o te tau kua hipa.

I kī a Levin ko te ngoikore o ngā utu utanga i ēnei rā tata nei, inā koa i ngā huarahi whakawhiti-a-Kiwa, tera pea he hua o te mahi tahi a ngā āhuatanga maha. Kei roto i tēnei ko te korenga o te tono i muri i te Hakari o te Koanga, me te hanganga hou o ngā hononga kaiwhakahaere, i hua ake ai te whakataetae nui ake me te hekenga o te whai huatanga o te whakahaere kaha i te mea ka urutau ngā kaiwhakahaere ki ngā ratonga hou kua whakarewahia.

I te mea kei te pāngia te umanga e te koretake, kei te tata mai ētahi wā mutunga nui. Kei roto i tēnei ko te hui a te Māngai Tauhokohoko o te Hononga o Amerika i te 24 o Poutū-te-rangi, ka whakatau i ngā utu tauranga kua whakaritea; E ai ki te tuhinga a te Perehitini "Amerika Tuatahi te Kaupapa Here Tauhokohoko", ko te rā mutunga mō ngā tari ki te ripoata i ngā take tauhokohoko ko te 1 o Paenga-whāwhā, ko te rā mutunga hou mō te whakatakoto i te 25% taripa ki ngā taonga USMCA ko te 2 o Paenga-whāwhā.